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  15. Six Stages of Coronavirus Outbreak as Explained by a Quarantined Italian

Six Stages of Coronavirus Outbreak as Explained by a Quarantined Italian

March 18, 2020
With more than 100,000 active cases and 8000 deaths globally, the coronavirus COVID-19 is affecting 167 countries and territories (as on 18, March 2020). The disease was first identified in 2019 in Wuhan, China, and has since spread globally, resulting in the 2019–20 coronavirus pandemic. Although those infected with the virus may be asymptomatic, many develop flu-like symptoms including fever, cough, and shortness of breath. Less commonly, upper respiratory symptoms such as sneezing, runny nose, or sore throat may be seen. Gastrointestinal symptoms such as nausea, vomiting, and diarrhea are seen in a minority of cases. In some, the disease may progress to pneumonia, multi-organ failure, and death.
After China, Italy is the worst affected country by COVID-19. The outbreak was confirmed to have spread to Italy on 31 January, when two Chinese tourists tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 in Rome. In response, the Italian government suspended all flights to and from China and declared a state of emergency. On 16 March it was reported that in the previous 24 hours 368 people had died of the virus  As of 18 March 2020 there is a total of 26,062 active cases and 2503 deaths. (source). Italy has now the highest number of new cases per day.
coronavirus Italy six stages
Amid such an outbreak, an Italian who is already under lockdown following the terrible epidemic of the coronavirus has shared advice in the form of Six Stages of Coronavirus. In a series of tweets, a user named Jason Yanowitzhas (@JasonYanowitz) issued a dire warning to the rest of the world.
Let's see what are 6 stages of Coronavirus pandemic as explained by Jason

STAGE 1: You know that coronavirus exists, and the first cases begin to appear in your country. Well, nothing to worry about, it's just bad flu!  I'm not 75+yo so what could possibly happen to me I'm safe, everybody is overreacting, what's the need to go out with masks and stock toilet paper?  I'm going to live my life, as usual, there's no need to freak out.

STAGE 2: The number of cases begins to be significant. They declare "red zone" and quarantine one or two small cities where they found the first cases and a lot of people were infected (Feb 22nd). Well, that's sad and somewhat worrisome but they're taking care of it so nothing to panic about. There are some deaths but they're all old people so the media is just creating panic for views, how shameful. People lead their life as usual... I'm not going to stop going out and meeting my friends, am I? It's not going to get me. Everybody's fine here.

STAGE 3: The number of cases is rapidly going up. They almost doubled in one day. There are more deaths. They declare red zones and quarantine the 4 regions where the majority of cases are registered (March 7). In Italy, 25% of the county is under quarantine. Schools and universities are closed in these areas but bars, workplaces, restaurants and so on are still open. The decree gets released by some newspaper before it should......so around 10k people from the red zone escape from the area that same night to return to their homes in the rest of Italy (this will be important later). Most of the population of the remaining 75% of Italy still does what it always does. They still don't realize the seriousness of the situation. Everywhere you turn people advise to wash your hands and limit going out, large groups are forbidden, every 5 minutes on TV they remind you of these rules. But it still hasn't settled in people's minds.

STAGE 4: The number of cases is heavily increasing. Schools and universities are closed everywhere for at least a month. It's a national health emergency. Hospitals are at capacity, entire units are cleared to make space for coronavirus patients. There aren't enough doctors and nurses. They're calling retired ones and those in their last 2 years of university. There are no shifts anymore, just work as much as you can. Of course doctors and nurses are getting infected, spreading it to their families. There are too many cases of pneumonia, too many people who need ICU and not enough places for everyone. At this point is like being at war: doctors have to choose who to treat based on their survival chance. That means that the elderly and trauma/stroke patients can't get treated because corona cases have priority. There are not enough resources for everybody so they have to be distributed for the best outcome. I wish I was joking but it's literally what has happened. People have died because there wasn't any more space. I have a doctor friend who called me devastated because he had to let 3 people die that day. Nurses crying because they see people dying and can't do anything aside from offering some oxygen. A friend's relative died yesterday of corona because they couldn't treat him. It's chaos, the system is collapsing. Coronavirus and the crisis it's provoking is all you hear about everywhere.

STAGE 5: Remember the 10k idiot who ran from the red zone to the rest of Italy? Well, the entire country has to be declared under quarantine (March 9). The goal is to delay the spreading of the virus as much as possible. People can go to work, go grocery shopping, go to the pharmacy, and all businesses are still open because otherwise, the economy would collapse (it already is), but you can't move from your commune unless you have a valid reason. Now there's fear, you see a lot of people with masks and gloves around but there are still are people who think that they're invincible, who go to restaurants in large groups, hang out with friends to drink and so on.
STAGE 6: 2 days later, it's announced that all (most) businesses are closed: Bars, restaurants, shopping centers, all kinds of shops, etc. Everything except supermarkets and pharmacies. You can move around only if you have certification with you. The certification is an official document where you declare your name, where you're coming from, where you're going and what for. There are a lot of police checkpoints. If you're found outside without a valid reason you risk a fine up to €206. If you're a known positive patient you risk from 1 to 12 years of jail for homicide.

FINAL THOUGHTS: That's what the situation is like now today as of March 12th. Keep in mind that it all happened in around 2 weeks...5 DAYS FROM STAGE 3 TO TODAY. The rest of the world apart from Italy, China and Korea are just now beginning to reach other stages, so let me tell you this: You have no idea what's coming to get you. I know because 2 weeks ago I was the one who had no idea and thought it wasn't bad. But it is. And not because the virus alone is particularly dangerous or deadly, but for all the consequences it brings. It's hard to see all these countries act like it's not coming and not taking the precautions that are necessary for the well-being of its citizens while they still can. Please if you're reading this try to act in your best interest. This problem isn't going to solve itself by ignoring it. Just wondering how many undiscovered cases there might be in America alone is scary, and they're in for big, big trouble because of how their country is run. Our government for once did a good job I must say. The actions taken were drastic but necessary, and this may be the only way to limit the spreading. They're taking measures to protect us citizens such as probably suspending mortgage payments for next months, help for shop owners who were obligated to close and so on. I realize that these takes are really difficult, if not impossible, to take in some countries, and it's really worrying to think about what it could mean on a global scale. I wonder if this pandemic will be a turning point in our society. If there are cases where you live, then the virus is spreading, and you're maybe 1-2 weeks behind us. But you'll get to our point eventually. PLEASE take any precautions you can take. Don't act like it's not going to get you. If you can, STAY HOME.
Here is the series of tweets, Jason has expressed his views on several stages of the spread of coronavirus and r the requested people to stop socializing to stop the spread of the disease.



























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